Who will be Manifold's 2024 Person of The Year?

Plus

200

Ṁ26k

Jan 15

72%

Jimmy Carter

12%

Donald Trump

Kamala Harris

Joe Biden

@strutheo

1.8%

Other

1.5%

Elon Musk

This market will resolve to the winner of the poll "Who was Manifold's 2024 Person of the Year", that will be run by @itsTomekK on January 10-15th, 2025

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The top 15 names on December 31 from this market will be taken to the poll.

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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Manifold

#2024

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bought Ṁ1 YES

Hot take: Trump, Musk, and AI have been VASTLY more significant to the world this year than Jimmy Carter

@TheAllMemeingEye Im gonna be honest all Jimmy Carter's done this year is die, so I wouldn't exactly call that PotY

bought Ṁ100 YES

@ClubmasterTransparent he did it. he actually did it.

I swear, I see his death markets fkn everywhere 💀💀💀

It’s not just you.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Whether or not Jimmy rings in 2025, someone at Manifold will have a big day in 2024.

Please add @jim

bought Ṁ10 YES

Jimmy will stay alive and btfo the death betters, so my money is on him

What will be the description on the poll? Will it be "who does Manifold deem should be person of the year" or "who the person of the year for Manifold"? Or will it just be that question and left ambiguous?

it will be "Who was Manifold's 2024 Person of the Year", as voted by people, regardless of Manifold's team

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