When will the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 be approved by the FDA?
When will the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 be approved by the FDA?
Plus
45
Ṁ39362031
0.2%
2023
0.9%
2024
4%
2025
2%
2026
20%
2027
5%
2028
3%
2029
2%
2030
63%
Not by the end of 2030
Resolves to the year where FDA grants any type of approval for use in humans.
Twitter threads
https://twitter.com/izzyz/status/1686491104139673602
https://twitter.com/vansianism/status/1686498249807626241
https://twitter.com/gigaj0ule/status/1686814611658715136
First tweet of last thread: "Small molecule oral cancer drug kills 100% of solid tumors across 70 evaluated cancer types in vitro and in animal models with a therapeutic index of 6 and no discernible side effects".
Name of the paper "Small molecule targeting of transcription replication conflict for selective chemotherapy". Link to paper in the Twitter threads. Twitter search: https://twitter.com/search?q=AOH1996
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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Learn more.1.00Related questions
When will the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 be approved by the FDA?
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