How many H5N1 bird flu human cases will be confirmed in the US in 2025?
➕
Plus
17
Ṁ4375
2026
5%
Less than 10 cases
23%
10-100 cases
45%
100-1,000 cases
16%
1,001-10k cases
11%
10k-100k+ cases

On May 31st the third human case was confirmed, and the second in Michigan. All cases so far have involved farm workers with proximity to infected cattle.
https://deepnewz.com/bio/second-human-h5n1-bird-flu-case-michigan-third-u-s-this-year

Market will resolve based on consensus of media reports.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST): - Only cases confirmed in 2025 will be counted toward the total. (AI summary of creator comment)

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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Do those confirmed in 2024 count toward the total?

@NicoDelon hm, I don’t think so? Seems like it should be confirmed in 2025 only

@ian ok, that’s how I read the question but I wasn’t 100% sure given the odds.

What's the option for 100K+ cases?

@causal_agency edited the last answer

@jgyou so true, would be great to have a number market in this case!

@ian Worldwide or in the US?

@snazzlePop thanks, in the US

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