https://twitter.com/i/status/1790068836961509673
https://twitter.com/i/status/1790081320552460511
Big part of discourse become about AI rights because they sound human like. People have AI gfs. People are very confident AIs are sentient and think like humans. That sort of thing. Resolves to my own judgement in 1 year from now.
1,000
3.00Unclear what "insane" means and possibly derogatory.
With enough looking you can find people today with AI gfs, or who argue AI is sentient. What could you see, that you currently don't see today, that would make this resolve Yes?
@C3POtheDragonSlayer If AI rights becomes a bigger concern than AI alignment, that would resolve it YES. If more than 10% of people in the age-bracket 15-35 are in long-term relationships with AI (and no human partner) that would also make it resolve YES. If there is a big political movement with national attention that takes for granted that AI systems are sentient that would resolve YES. Some convex combination of these might also make it resolve YES.
I think currently we're remarkably not-insane. (wrt this concern that is)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00