Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration?
8
Ṁ902029
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the current Iranian regime remains in power throughout Donald Trump's presidency and is still in power when Trump leaves office.
It resolves to NO if the regime collapses, is overthrown, or fundamentally transforms into a different system of government during Trump's term.
Happy to clarify edge cases.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?
15% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
13% chance
Will Iran try to assassinate Trump?
13% chance
Will the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
70% chance
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
69% chance
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.
28% chance
E3 snap back Iran nuclear deal sanctions by October 18, 2025?
52% chance
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
50% chance
🇮🇷🇮🇱 Will Iranian leadership or Israeli leadership change first?
Which regimes will survive until 2028?