Will Rohan Garg Qualify for MOP 2025?
Will Rohan Garg Qualify for MOP 2025?
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This will resolved after initial emails come out (i.e. if Rohan make after declines this will still resolve to NO)
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this will resolved after initial emails come out (i.e. if i make after declines this will still resolve to NO)
bought Ṁ5 YES from 64% to 65% 15h
bought Ṁ50 YES
Bet yes for free mana!
bought Ṁ867 YES1mo
Ryan's going to be so confused why Rachel Rohan and I are dumping thousands into this market
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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