Will @evan be late to pay back a loan?
31
Ṁ30k
2027
1%
chance

This market is meant to gauge whether or not I can be trusted to pay back my loans on time.

This market will resolve YES if I am ever late to pay back an agreed-upon mana loan. This market will resolve NO when I don't owe anybody mana for 90 consecutive days.

Current outstanding loans:

Total: Ṁ0

Total loans previously paid off on time: Ṁ355,186

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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opened a Ṁ50 NO at 1.0% order

Question is: do we have to wait for the 90 days for this to resolve NO or is account deletion sufficient?

@Fion However the gavel falls, this market will be used for future precident in such matters.

I redacting this because mods will fine me

@evan is gone

bought Ṁ750 NO

@JeromeHPowell AND without outstanding loans!

@Bayesian gg...?

@JeromeHPowell he evan-ished

@TheAllMemeingEye why did he dump all of his mana into a ton of markets to bring down the possibility, I don’t really get it

@JeromeHPowell I gather that he is rage quitting over his temporary ban for making a popular unlinked multi choice market for a mutually exclusive binary event in order to get double the trader bonuses, one of the markets he dumped into was betting down the manifold leadership approval rating

@TheAllMemeingEye ahh, thanks for clarifying

@TheAllMemeingEye why did he impersonate @EvanDaniel

@TheAllMemeingEye sorry, I’m not fully following

@JeromeHPowell can't be certain, presumably he wanted to get back at them for the ban, and maybe enjoy confusing people

august 9...

@evan You're riding a fine line between bravery and foolishness.

Holy heck. He did it. Now it's a question of if he will cash in, or double-or-nothing.

How do you get such huge loans with such a low net worth (in proportion to the loans) ?

@Velaris I just ask around, there are lots of Manifold users with a lot of extra mana they're not planning to spend who are willing to give out loans at a relatively low interest rate. The debt just adds up over time but will eventually be paid off entirely

Repaid three loans today!

Big news: I now have enough mana to pay back everything due in June and July!

bought Ṁ50 NO from 48% to 45%
bought Ṁ50 YES from 45% to 48%

@traders Added some liquidity

All loans are paid up to June 15!

boughtṀ6YES

@spiderduckpig what happened?

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