Will there be a disaster this year with an economic cost of over $100 billion as of December 31, 2024?
Plus
29
Ṁ19kJan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The disaster can be natural or human-caused, and can happen anywhere in the world. It can be a series of events, as long as the events are related (e.g. a series of tornadoes in a region, a hurricane that causes flooding, etc.).
This question will resolve using the List of Disasters by Cost Wikipedia Article. To resolve "yes" there must be at least 2 citations from reputable sources verifying the number.
The question will resolve "no" on January 1, 2025 if there is no entry on the list between July 17, 2024 and December 31, 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the total economic damage of the LA wildfires beginning Jan 8th 2025?
Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
44% chance
Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2040?
78% chance
What will be the total cost of US extreme weather disasters in 2024?
Does an AI disaster kill at least 100,000 people before 2029?
31% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
61% chance
Will a single natural disaster event kill more than 50,000 people in 2024?
4% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a world wide recession by the end of 2025.
30% chance
Will there be a dam collapse in the US before the end of 2025 with a fatality rate of 10 or more?
14% chance