is math blue?

Ṁ14k

resolved Jun 13

Resolved as

49%

ALL

what color is the subject of math? just the vibe.

Will resolve with the results of this poll: https://forms.gle/253aPJhXxzu942Vn8

Update 2025-06-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they may resolve this market sooner than its scheduled close date. Resolution will be based on the poll results at the time of such early resolution.

Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated a preference for resolving to PROBABILITY based on the poll results, instead of a strict YES/NO resolution. They are inquiring if this change to the market is possible.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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49 Comments

51 Holders

251 Trades

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10d

ayo wtf??? so if it doesnt resolve 100% nobody gets their money back???

10d

wait im dumb bruhhhhhhhh
I'm Crashing Out!!!! I'm Crashing Out!!!! I Hate Manifold!!!! I'm Crashing out!!!!
I hate manifold!!!! I'm crashing out!!!!

10d

@ohiorizzler1434 It means that you got 49% of your mana back instead of losing it all in a NO resolution.

10d

@4fa i'd rather lose it all because I am sigma

10d

@ohiorizzler1434 relevant lore

10d

here are the results

Seems very black and white to me.
Edit Maths is very black and white not the question.

bought Ṁ20 NO from 62% to 60% 13d

18d

@enya_yurself

Will you resolve to probability or to YES/NO?

17d

@4fa i was going to do this as yes/no but probability makes a lot more sense…. @mods is it possible to change this?

17d

@enya_yurself Not a mod, but you are able to resolve this market to PROB without any special configuration.

That being said, it might not be what the people betting on this market were expecting, but I guess the description is somewhat ambiguous.

17d

@enya_yurself yes it is at least possible to resolve as a percentage (whether or not that’s advisable)

16d

@enya_yurself personally my preference would be for it to resolve to the percentage of respondents to the poll linked in the description that answered yes

bought Ṁ15 NO15d

@Sketchy would the prob resolution work similarly to the higher/lower markets?

@enya_yurself If you resolve to 42% for example, YES holders get 42% of their shares' value and NO holders get 58% of their shares' value, as far as I know. That might also be the mechanism behind the old higher/lower numeric markets.

bought Ṁ109 YES19d

i put all my money on yes, im literally broke rn
chat if this doesnt resolve to blue im going to griddy at exiters and admit

opened a Ṁ10 NO at 92% order18d

@ohiorizzler1434 you can sell shares on other markets you have bet on though

18d

@khang2009 ook i agree rbo thats a good point, im going to sell my shares on other stocks xiooix

20d

BRUH WHEN IS TS GOING TO RESOLVE, IM GONNA CRASH OUT!!!! IM CRASHING OUT

bought Ṁ7 NO19d

@ohiorizzler1434 I set it to June 13, can resolve sooner tho

19d

@enya_yurself ok admits schedule

25d

Math is red. No discussions on that

nou math is skibi unlike blue which is obviously english

bought Ṁ736 YES20d

@SatvikSharma nou ur admits

bought Ṁ583 YES1mo

Maths is blue. If you don't agree you are a SUSSY BAKA

26d

@ohiorizzler1434 It's comments like this that remind me how great the internet is.

bought Ṁ294 YES26d

@Quroe blud you better vote math blue bc i put 10 quandillion dollars into ts

26d

@ohiorizzler1434 Chill, I low key handled it. No cap.

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

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