🏈 NFL Prop Bets 🎲

Basic

Ṁ9413

2100

32%

Chiefs/49ers/Ravens Win Super Bowl

91%

A running back wins OPOY

99%

Regular Season MVP plays for the team that drafted them

68%

5 Teams finish with positive Rush EPA in the regular season

96%

Rookie WR with the highest receiving yards is not Harrison Jr, Nabers, or Odunze

15%

The NFL dissolves before 2050

89%

Super Bowl winning team has the same starting QB in Week 1 as in the Super Bowl

99%

A team wins 14+ games in the regular season

89%

A QB wins (offensive) ROTY

96%

A QB wins MVP

New kick return rules result in 50%+ of kickoffs being returned (2023: 22%)

99%

A QB is sacked 50+ times

12%

A player gets 18+ sacks

99%

A player catches 9+ interceptions

99%

A WR has 1,700+ receiving yards

15%

A QB passes for 5,000+ yards

Super Bowl is a rematch (KC vs SF)

1.2%

A veteran in their first season with a new team wins MVP

A rookie wins DPOY

A rookie wins OPOY

Submit whatever you think might happen related to the NFL and if it happens it will resolve YES.

Any answer not specifying otherwise should be assumed to refer to the current regular season only (or upcoming regular season if in the offseason). Please specify if your answer is meant to include playoffs or be only playoffs or a specific game. If unclear, ask in the comments. I reserve the right to reword answers myself to make them clearer. I may N/A submissions for any reason.

Comments are strongly encouraged to help notify me that answers can be resolved and to facilitate speedy resolution. I reserve the right to resolve NO any answer for which sufficient evidence is not provided.

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See also the 🏟️ Major Sporting Events & Champions dashboard.

For faster resolution, mods may resolve answers and/or any trader may tag @dglid in a comment.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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Are these figures correct?

bought Ṁ404 YES

@eppsilon kerby joseph just hit 9

bought Ṁ100 YES

@eppsilon both Caleb Williams and CJ Stroud have hit this: https://www.espn.com/nfl/stats/player/_/table/passing/sort/sacks/dir/desc

@creator

Next year should have a prop for if a fair catch kick is attempted.

bought Ṁ92 NO

@AlexanderMiller @creator resolves NO, every team has lost at least once

bought Ṁ645 NO

@dglid resolves NO, per https://www.pro-football-reference.com/friv/octopus-tracker.htm

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 75% order

Superbowl is a rematch of what?

@JoshuaWilkes I assume this is KC vs SF. I’ll update.

I'm assuming all counting stats for all of these props are implicitly regular season only unless stated otherwise in the answer? Does that also apply to other statements that aren't necessarily tracked (i.e. I put Josh Allen 3+ laterals in the Bills props)

@StopPunting Good clarification. Yes, I think default time frame if not otherwise specified should be the regular season as that’s what sources of truth typically report by default (ie https://www.nfl.com/stats/player-stats/, https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/T/TagoTu00.htm) I’ll update the description to clarify.

https://rbsdm.com/stats/stats/

reposted

neat

@dglid sorry about the super bowl one - feel free to delete it if you want (i should’ve read the instructions first)

@eppsilon No worries. I’ll leave it but yeah hopefully we’ll have fewer than we would otherwise. That said, the other market is more of a live market for what will happen at the game, so your answer is okay here I think.

An octopus is an NFL player who scores both the touchdown and the subsequent two-point conversions during a single possession: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/friv/octopus-tracker.htm

There were 11 last season.

Tracker: https://twitter.com/NFL_Octopus

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