Will any Manifold user be imprisoned in CECOT or a similar prison after deportation from the US during Trump's 2nd term?
15
Ṁ51382029
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, there must be credible reports that:
1) the proposed individual traded on Manifold at least once;
2) the proposed individual has been deported from the US;
3) the proposed individual is in CECOT or a prison with a similarly poor human rights record outside of the US.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the outcome of the saga around the deportation of Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia during the 2nd Trump term?
Will the US deport an American citizen before 2029?
79% chance
Will the Trump administration deport a US citizen to El Salvador this year?
50% chance
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
37% chance
CECOT murders US detainees before 2026?
19% chance
Will the Trump admin deport a usa citizen over Tesla arson or related crimes by end of 2025?
12% chance
Will the Trump administration deport a natural born US citizen by the end of his second term?
60% chance
If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
58% chance
Will Trump incarcerate or institutionalize trans people just for being trans?
40% chance
Will at least one Thiel Fellow be deported out of the US by EOY2028?
48% chance