Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be open-sourced?
Basic
14
Ṁ12392026
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"next reasoning model", i.e. a jump analogous in scale to o1 --> o3
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30
19% chance
Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?
1% chance
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
83% chance
Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?
39% chance
When will DeepSeek release V4?
When will DeepSeek release R2?
will DeepSeek become a closed AI lab by EOY?
25% chance
Did DeepSeek receive unannounced assistance from OpenAI in the creation of their v3 model?
8% chance
Will OpenAI’s claims that DeepSeek is a distillation of their models become the consensus view?
16% chance
DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/26?
48% chance