Do you see a problem with the lack of diversity among users on manifold?
Do you see a problem with the lack of diversity among users on manifold?
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Yes
No
https://manifold.markets/Rucker/the-manifold-gender-census?r=Y2hlc2hpcmVjYXQ
Human perspectives are generally limited by their experience, and unfortunately in our society today, protected classes such as gender, sexual orientation, or race etc still lead to different experiences.
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https://www.ft.com/content/29fd9b5c-2f35-41bf-9d4c-994db4e12998
Social bubbles could be an explanation for increasing divergence in young men and women’s views
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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