This is crazily mispriced. Even senile Joe didn’t resign and he belongs to the more reasonable party.

@RaphaelBon even if the probability is less than 1%, it doesn't necessarily make sense to buy it all the way down to 1% because it doesn't resolve for several years. There are probably other markets that are similarly mispriced but resolve sooner.

@Fion having said that, maybe I will buy some after all. :P

@Fion Probably not worth buying down to 1% but at 9% it’s a good deal.