Will Jesse Singal be banned from Bluesky before EOY 2025?
Will Jesse Singal be banned from Bluesky before EOY 2025?
Basic
12
Ṁ300Dec 31
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
Jesse Singal is a journalist and writer who has been a controversial figure on Bluesky.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if Jesse Singal's account on Bluesky is banned before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC.
The market will resolve NO if:
Singal's account remains active on Bluesky through December 31, 2025
Singal receives temporary suspensions but is reinstated before the end of 2025
Singal voluntarily leaves the platform
Singal's account is restricted or limited but not banned
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ50 NO4mo
The people demanding that Jesse is banned will never be happy. Absent a unifying enemy figure or group they will turn on each other.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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