Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-4 this decade?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will a language model comparable to GPT-4 be trained, with ~1/10th the amount of energy it took train GPT-4, by 2028?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?

Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?

By 2028, will there be a language model of less than 10B parameters that is superior to GPT-4?