Will fewer people die from road accidents in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the US, specifically)
Basic
10
Ṁ399Jan 6
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/813670
Currently it looks like 2024 has a very good chance of having fewer road accident deaths than 2023, but the trend is not an absolute decider and 2024 still has two quarters that haven't been published, so I feel like it doesn't warrant a 91%.
Related questions
Related questions
Will fewer people die from road accidents in 2024 compared to 2023? (worldwide)
67% chance
Fewer than 10k people die from car accidents annually in the US before 2040
54% chance
Fewer than 20k people die from car accidents annually in the US before 2040
54% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the United States)
44% chance
Will fewer people die from Cancer (in the US) in 2024 compared to 2023?
77% chance
Fewer than 40k people die from car accidents annually in the US before 2040
76% chance
Compared to 2023, will violent crime in the US decrease in 2024?
80% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?
65% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?
30% chance