Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?
Plus
22
Ṁ1603Dec 25
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
GPT-4's benchmark results as of its release in march 2023.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033
72% chance
Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)
an LLM as capable as GPT-4 runs on one 4090 by March 2025
31% chance
Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?
76% chance
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
83% chance
Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?
82% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?
12% chance
By 2028, will there be a language model of less than 10B parameters that is superior to GPT-4?
84% chance
Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?
82% chance
Will an LLM with less than 10B parameters beat GPT4 by EOY 2025?
98% chance