AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025 | Manifold

AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2025

Plus

92

Ṁ22k

Dec 31

71%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Set criteria:

Must be coherent
Must have coherent scenes and plot/plots/themes
Script may be provided separately, but must be AI generated
May resolve early

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Initiator of the market deleted, how is it decided now?

bought Ṁ250 YES

Is this more in the flavour of “one model will sometimes be able to create a coherent 5-min film” or “one model will consistently output numerous coherent 5-min films”? I would interpret it as the former.

At what cost/availability?

bought Ṁ100 YES

i put it at an 80% chance yes, but will not be available to the public; will be demoed though by DeepMind or OAI

bought Ṁ600 NO

Obviously not

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