Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Basic
17
Ṁ9122026
1.9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Powell’s term expires May 15, 2026. This market will resolve to YES if he is nominated and confirmed for a third consecutive term as Chair of the Board Of Governors of the Federal Reserve.
It will resolve no if he resigns or is replaced as Chair of the Federal Reserve before getting nominated and confirmed for a third consecutive term.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ40 NO7mo
Seems less likely with Trump winning the presidency given that Trump has been so critical of Powell and the Fed
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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