Will Neom (The Line city, Saudi Arabia) build at least 1km in 2025?
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https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/saudi-arabia-scales-back-neom-plans-focus-world-cup-asian-games
The project is likely scaled down quite a bit, but they have the hard goal of building a football stadium for the 2034 FIFA World Cup and are currently claiming that they will have 2.4km of The Line along with that stadium.
1km of building means 1km of The Line, not something like "if you unwrap the walls of the stadium it gets you 800m in a straight line".
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I just realised that I created almost the same question as yours, but with 500m target: https://manifold.markets/CommanderKeen/will-even-500m-of-saudi-arabias-the
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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