Will the UK face the "longest recession in G7"?
Basic
11
Ṁ1745
2027
85%
chance

Economists polled by the Financial Times claim the above: https://www.ft.com/content/81fbdff6-dacb-476b-a4ba-12696e7f7800

Will this claim hold up?

Will extend the resolution date assuming it's still possible for another country to beat the UK (e.g. the UK and that country are still both in a recession).

Will count length of the recession as # of contiguous quarters of GDP growth.

Will resolve early if the UK has the longest record and no other country is currently in a recession.

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What happens if none of the G7 enter recession on by close ( unlikely but possible)?

predictedYES

@Adamlewis N/A I guess

predictedNO

@VivaLaPanda I may be a little bias, but I believe it should resolve as no since the UK is not in the longest recession and the original FT article would be wrong. Thoughts?

predictedYES

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