Will real 75th percentile software engineer comp be higher than today in 2025 in the US
Will real 75th percentile software engineer comp be higher than today in 2025 in the US
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27
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87%
chance
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Current pay: 210k
https://www.levels.fyi/t/software-engineer/locations/san-francisco-bay-area
I will adjust for inflation using standard sources of inflation data.
Question resolves YES if the above datasource, or a comperable one, is higher than today's value adjusted for inflation by the end of 2025 PST.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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There is some arb between this market and the other markets in the programmer automation club, I suspect.
Will real 75th percentile software engineer comp be higher than today in 2025 in the US, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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