"Close friend" is defined as someone for whom:
Both of us feel comfortable sharing intimate secrets with each other.
Both of us feel comfortable asking each other for non-trivial favors.
Since market creation, there was a period of at least 1 year during which we spent time together at least once a month.
If the relationship is sexual it still counts, but ofc it can be platonic.
Currently I have two people that meet these criteria.
Feel free to ask any relevant questions about me.
I will not trade in this market.
Related: https://manifold.markets/VanessaKosoy/will-i-have-a-new-serious-relations
1,000
3.00Empirically how often have you made new close friends in the last 10-20 years? And are there any recent lifestyle changes that would affect the frequency with which you meet new people?
In the last 15 years, there are the aforementioned 2 and ~3 marginal cases. But all of these happened after my divorce (6 years ago).
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00