What combination of Netanyahu/Bennett/Lapid will be in the next Israeli govt?
What combination of Netanyahu/Bennett/Lapid will be in the next Israeli govt?
Basic
5
Ṁ6382026
29%
Netanyahu
5%
Bennet
14%
Lapid
6%
Netanyahu + Bennet
1.3%
Netanyahu + Lapid
41%
Bennet + Lapid
1.8%
Netanyahu + Bennet + Lapid
2%
None
What combination of Benjamin Netanyahu, Naftali Bennett, and Yair Lapid will end up in the next Israeli government, following the next Knesset election?
If the next election does not result in a new government, this market will remain open until a government is formed, regardless of how many elections that takes.
This will resolve to one option. "None" refers to a government which does not contain Netanyahu, Bennett, or Lapid.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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filled a Ṁ25 Netanyahu + Bennet +... NO at 1.0% order2mo
What about a scenario where there is a new government without an election via constructive non-confidence?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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