Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?
Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?
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Will resolve YES if any tariffs that were enacted by Trump against Canada this year remain at 25% or higher at the end of 2025
Update 2025-03-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Timing
Final Check: The tariff status will be evaluated only at the end of 2025.
Interim Fluctuations: Any changes or pauses during the year are not considered in the final resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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By "remain" at 25% or higher, do you meant continuously, or just that you will check at the end of 2025? All the tariffs might get paused for a day and then come back, or get switched from one good to another.
@UnconditionalProbability Will check at end of 2025 for final status regardless of any interim fluctuations
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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