When will the Democratic Socialists of America next endorse the Democratic nominee for US president? (2024 and later)
When will the Democratic Socialists of America next endorse the Democratic nominee for US president? (2024 and later)
Plus
0
2039
17%
2024
17%
2028
17%
2032
17%
2036
17%
2040
17%
2044 or later
Resolves yes if the DSA officially endorses the Democratic nominee for president. An endorsement of the eventual nominee during a primary would be sufficient. In the event that they endorse in the year before, the endorsement counts for the year of the election. An endorsement of a candidate who becomes nominee in a later cycle is not sufficient; they would need to endorse them again (e.g., endorsing a 2028 candidate, who becomes nominee in 2032, would not be sufficient.)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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17% chance