Which country will have the highest GDP growth percentage in 2024?

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Ṁ3990

resolved Jun 8

100%99.0%

Georgia

0.1%

Macau

0.1%

Armenia

0.1%

Tajikistan

0.1%

India

0.1%

Rwanda

0.1%

Kyrgyzstan

0.2%

Vietnam

0.3%Other

The market will resolve based on the GDP growth percentage figures as reported on this trading economics page: https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/full-year-gdp-growth

The market resolves once at least 90% of countries on the list have a reference period Dec 24 or later. Everything listed in that table is eligible even if it is not unambiguously a country. Countries' latest GDP growth percentages will be used even if the reference period isn't ending in Dec 2024.

If the page becomes unavailable, I'll N/A the market as GDP growth rates vary too much between different sources and thus the choice of replacement is too subjective. I will N/A any duplicates added to the list.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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By my count there are 106 countries total, of which 96 have reported. So we just meet the 90% threshold and this question will now resolve to Georgia.

sold Ṁ18 YES

@traders Georgia has passed Kyrgyzstan now. We still are not at the 90% threshold.

Traders should note that Kyrgyzstan is ahead of Macau and this is unlikely to change.

@TotalVerb (a different country can still win, but Macau is priced too high)

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-31/guyana-raises-yearly-growth-estimates-to-42-8-from-34-8

@spiderduckpig While I don't really understand why, note that Guyana is not in the stated resolution source.

@TotalVerb Yeah I just realized that too, weird

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