Will America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
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This market resolves yes if any part of Canadian territory becomes American territory before 12/31/2026

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Claim vs. Action:

    • A sovereignty claim is an assertion of rights.

    • Annexation is the actual process of taking control and incorporating the territory into the state's jurisdiction.

    • What Would Annexation Look Like?

    • Declaration: The U.S. government would issue a formal declaration stating the annexation of Machias Seal Island.

    • Annexation Requires Action: Simply claiming does not equate to annexing. Annexation requires actual control and incorporation, not just a claim.

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST): - Annexation Requires Action: For example, the United States sending personnel to forcibly take control of the territory would resolve this market to YES. (AI summary of creator comment)

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@Calibrate Your questions touch on the nuanced distinctions between sovereignty claims and annexation

Claim vs. Action: While a sovereignty claim is an assertion of rights, annexation is the actual process of taking control and incorporating the territory into the state's jurisdiction.

If the United States were to attempt to take control of Machias Seal Island by force, it would indeed constitute an act of annexation.

What Would Annexation Look Like?

Declaration: The U.S. government would issue a formal declaration stating the annexation of Machias Seal Island.

Annexation Requires Action: Simply claiming does not equate to annexing. Annexation requires actual control and incorporation, not just a claim.

From my research, these seem to be the key info regarding a sovereignty claim vs annexation.

@Calibrate So, basically, if we sent some boys to kick the leafs out of the island, it would resolve this market to YES.

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