How many astronauts of each nationality will be in space at the start of 2026?
How many astronauts of each nationality will be in space at the start of 2026?
4
αΉ13752026
70%
π¨π³π¨π³π¨π³
49%
π·πΊπ·πΊ
25%
π·πΊπ·πΊπ·πΊ
23%
πΊπΈπΊπΈπΊπΈ
15%
πΊπΈπΊπΈ
15%
πΊπΈπΊπΈπΊπΈπΊπΈ
15%
π¨π³π¨π³
15%
π·πΊπ·πΊπ·πΊπ·πΊ
11%
π·πΊπ·πΊπ·πΊπ·πΊπ·πΊ
10%
π¨π³π¨π³π¨π³π¨π³
10%
π·πΊ
5%
πΊπΈ
5%
πΊπΈπΊπΈπΊπΈπΊπΈπΊπΈ
5%
π¨π³
3%
π¨π³π¨π³π¨π³π¨π³π¨π³
For each country, the option that is the number of repetitions of that country's flag corresponding to the number of people from that country in space at the start of 2026 resolves YES and all other options resolve NO.
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@Tetraspace How will you resolve? It looks like https://whoisinspace.com/ might be one of the best sources out there
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightβs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 β $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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