Will a nuclear device be used offensively before April 1, 2025?
Plus
38
Ṁ4084Mar 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any type of nuclear device or weapon qualifies as long as it is used offensively.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
Any territory in the world qualifies
Nuclear tests do not qualify as offensive use
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@FabioFabbrifabione Yes, any territory qualifies. The device only needs to be used offensively. Nuclear tests would not qualify.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
48% chance
Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?
39% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
14% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
11% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be fired in anger before 2075?
44% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?
25% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2029?
27% chance
Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?