
Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point before the end of 2025, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves YES.
Otherwise, it resolves NO.
If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.
SpaceX raising at $400B: Musk's 42% stake would be worth ~$168 billion (up from ~$147 billion at $350B), adding ~$21 billion to his net worth. xAI rumored raising at $170-200B. Musk's 59% stake would be worth ~$118 billion (up from ~$55 billion at $92.7B), adding ~$63-71 billion. Today Forbes has Musk at $402 billion. Tesla adding $49 in share price would add $20 billion to his net worth.
@brianwang $431 billion. $23.5 share price move for $12.8 billion. $1.836 share price increase is $1 billion. $488 tesla share price will do it. Less if there is increase in SpaceX, Boring company, or XAI valuation.
Elon Musk at $380.9 Billion net worth per Forbes
https://www.forbes.com/profile/elon-musk/?listuri=rtb
Up $28B today