Will a brain-computer interface user vote and comment on this market by the end of 2025?
Will a brain-computer interface user vote and comment on this market by the end of 2025?
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The market resolves true if a person uses a BCI to vote on this market and comment below by the end of 2025. There should be a proof that the person is really a BCI user.
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@SimoneRomeo The title and criteria don't seem to match at first glance. I came here expecting this to count up until the beginning of 2025 from the title, not the end.
Can you be more specific about the resolution criteria? I already experimented with BCIs and can control cursors.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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