What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?
What smart humanoid bots' capabilities will be showcased in videos by 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ2572031
87%
Executes a synchronized dance routine.
73%
Completes an agility obstacle course within a set time.
70%
Solves a Rubik's Cube in under 30 seconds.
68%
Shoots and scores from the free-throw line.
66%
Drives a car.
61%
Hits a dartboard bullseye.
55%
Performs CPR on a mannequin/human.
54%
Prepares a gourmet dish.
50%
Replicates a complex origami figure.
50%
Kill a human
46%
Plays a specific song on an instrument accurately after one listening.
46%
Assembles a furniture that hadn't seen, by reading the manual.
34%
Executes an Olympic-standard perfect dive.
The bots must be smart, humanoid, and execute the actions autonomously so that it would count.
You can add more skills. I'll resolve them N/A if they can't be resolved or if they don't reflect the purpose of this narket
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 Executes a synchroni... YES
The bots aren't smart and the dance is preprogrammed but definitely going to happen if we get smart bots:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?
77% chance
How many humanoid robots will there be at the end of 2032?
-
Will a humanoid robot provide some kind of commercial service to me by 2026?
14% chance
Will 100 million humanoid robots have been produced by 2035?
33% chance
Which peak human skills will smart robots have by 2026?
Will there be more humanoid robots than humans before 2100?
60% chance
Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
72% chance
Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
80% chance
Will there be a billion humanoid robots roaming the earth in the 2040s?
16% chance
Will 2K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
93% chance