Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Rob Wiblin (charity researcher and podcaster) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.
Question is global -- charges in any country count.
Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
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3.00Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.
Is the legal category more important, or the seriousness of the charges?
@AgustinCovarrubias The seriousness was more so the aim, and the intention was to filter out charges of limited social importance. The "felony" wording is America-centric -- if it's in another country and if it's unclear whether this is a petty offense or substantial, we'll make a judgment call. Anything like wire fraud or armed robbery would definitely count. In my opinion, a fine for drug possession shouldn't count. Littering doesn't count...unless the person did it in sufficient amounts or repetitively, such that the judge sent them to prison. Then that could count, but not the sort of mundane littering that gets you a $100 fine.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00