Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?
Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?
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A candidate who participated in the primary debates.
Context:
"All across the country, Republican states are working to ban lab meat. It’s been banned in Florida and many other states are working to ban it, all over the country."
"On Tuesday, Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey signed a similar bill into law; violators could face up to three months in jail and a $500 fine."
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Please clarify: what level of candidate?
Someone who never had a chance or any press coverage?
Participates in primary debates?
One of the two selected by the parties?
Eg if DeSantis runs, has having cultivated meat on his platform, and loses the primary, does that count?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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