Will Pope Francis live long enough to play the Nintendo Switch 2?
11
Ṁ624Dec 21
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES when the Nintendo Switch 2 releases by this market's definition.
Resolves NO when Pope Francis's death is reported by at least two major reliable news outlets.
Close date is provisional.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Based on the resolution criteria, I assume the requirement is whether someone could theoretically have played the switch 2 at that point in time, rather than the pope specifically? Since I don’t think he is likely to acquire a switch 2 (and thus could not play it) and it might not release in his region initially
@GleamingRhino yeah it's just "will the switch 2 release before the pope dies". the market title is phrased that way just for fun
Related questions
Related questions
How many copies will the best selling Nintendo Switch 2 game sell in 2025?
Will the next Pokemon game come out on the Switch 2?
93% chance
Will Nintendo release the Switch 2 before the end of March 2025?
1% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 outsell the Nintendo Switch by 2030?
13% chance
When will Nintendo release the Switch 2’s successor?
-
When will Nintendo release the Switch 2?
Will the Nintendo Switch become the best-selling game console of all time by outselling the Playstation 2 before 2026?
10% chance
When will Nintendo release the Nintendo switch 2?
Will Noam Chomsky live long enough to play the Nintendo Switch 2?
81% chance
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be released before March 2025?
4% chance