Which of these series will have games on Nintendo Switch 2 announced before 2026?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ2795
2026
95%
Super Mario
56%
Super Smash Bros.
50%
Microsoft Flight Simulator
50%
Grand Theft Auto
49%
Halo
46%
Animal Crossing
45%
The Sims (excluding MySims)
41%
Mario Golf
36%
WarioWare
35%
Mario Maker
34%
Nintendogs
14%
Rhythm Heaven
Resolved
YES
The Legend of Zelda
Resolved
YES
Donkey Kong

Main market: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/which-of-these-series-will-ever-hav

For each series, the respective market will resolve YES if:

  • A new game in the series is announced specifically for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • A game being announced for Nintendo Switch and the Switch 2 being backwards compatible is NOT sufficient.

    • A game with specific versions for multiple consoles (like how Twilight Princess released for both GameCube and Wii, or third-party multiplatform games) IS sufficient.

  • A port or remaster of an existing game in the series is announced for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • Emulations (such as Atari 50 or the Nintendo Switch Online service) are NOT sufficient.

Note that, unlike the main market, markets resolve when games are announced, not released.

All other markets resolve NO at market close.

Whether a given game is part of a given series will be determined by how it is described by a consensus of reporting. If a market resolution seems likely to be controversial, I may conduct a Manifold poll to assist in determing the resolution.

  • Update 2025-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If there are separate builds for Switch 1 and Switch 2 (like Twilight Princess on GC and Wii), that is sufficient.

    • If there is extra functionality on Switch 2 that most backward-compatible games don't get (like DSi-enhanced software on DS games), that is sufficient.

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bought Ṁ864 YES

@Kraalnaxx I HAVE NEVER BEEN SO HAPPY TO BE RIGHT

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