Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia dead as of before April 13?
29
Ṁ21k
2026
15%
chance

Is Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the person mistakenly deported by the Trump administration, dead as of before April 13, 2025?

Resolves YES if, before April 30, 2026, Kilmar Abrego Garcia having been dead before April 13, 2025 is reported by a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolves NO if, before, April 30, 2026, proof that he is alive on or after April 13, 2025 emerges (e.g. his lawyer says that he was able to talk to him over video or in person on or after April 13).

Resolves to poll after market close if unclear by market close. All dates in CT

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@SemioticRivalry do you wanna put up a NO order, at, let's say 8%? i'd be up to bet more

opened a Ṁ684 YES at 10% order

@Robincvgr @AdamK wanna bet more?

@Robincvgr ah someone filled it

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules