Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory, and will Isaac King's market on it be resolved correctly?
10
2027
80-100% chance COVID came from a lab, 70%+ chance Isaac King's market will resolve honestly
21%-79% chance COVID came from a lab, 70%+ chance Isaac King's market will resolve honestly
0-20% chance COVID came from a lab, 70%+ chance Isaac King's market will resolve honestly
80-100% chance COVID came from a lab, <70% chance Isaac King's market will resolve honestly
21%-79% chance COVID came from a lab, <70% chance Isaac King's market will resolve honestly
0-20% chance COVID came from a lab, <70% chance Isaac King's market will resolve honestly
From your perspective, how likely do you think it is that COVID-19 came from a lab, and how likely do you think that Isaac King's market on it will eventually be resolved honestly and correctly, wherever the evidence may point?
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