Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2026? | Manifold

Will an autonomous agent resolve 90% of tasks on SWE-bench by 2026?

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Ṁ160

Dec 31

66%

chance

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1W

1M

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Resolves "Yes" if, at time of closure, there is an entry on the SWE-bench leaderboard (https://www.swebench.com/) with score greater or equal to 90%.

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