Were there accomplices involved in the assassination of the United Healthcare CEO?
Were there accomplices involved in the assassination of the United Healthcare CEO?
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Ṁ6921Mar 2
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As in, 1 or more accomplice(s) have helped / are helping
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Strong evidence of accomplices is sufficient for a YES resolution, even if no accomplices are formally identified or charged.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Accomplices must have:
Known about this specific assassination in advance
Actively assisted in carrying it out
Assistance through general social influence or stochastic effects does not count as being an accomplice.
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@WilliamGunn unsure what the differences are. I would resolve yes if there is very strong evidence that there were accomplices even if none could be identified.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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