Will Joe Biden get impeached in his first term?
➕
Plus
1.2k
Ṁ670k
Jan 22
0.9%
chance
If the House of Representatives of the United States approves articles of impeachment against the President of the United States before the end of Joe Biden's first term in office, this market will be resolved as “Yes”. This market does not consider the possibility of a process of impeachment being conducted after Joe Biden has left office or finished his first presidential term, even if he gets re-elected for a second term.
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@traders Are we good to resolve this?

@Predictor Is the term over? He could still start sundowning real hard and murder a child

@MarkBowen @Predictor Trump could order it to be done any day on a whim.

@KevinBlaw I'm in agreement with the above comment. Trump could pull anything in these last few days to whip things up.

@KevinBlaw Listen, I’m not going to argue with you.

reposted

Oh sh*t, here we go...

@Predictor eh, massie is a “libertarian” isolationist type.

reposted

@Predictor Hunter's apple didn't fall too far from the tree.

@FrederickNorris Amen. Amtrak train enthusiasts.

reposted

Will cognitive function effect this?

bought Ṁ1,500 NO

does assassination attempt change this

reposted

debate bump

Looks like he did the exact thing Trump got impeached for (witholding congressionally -mandated military aid to an allied nation to try to pressure their leaders to do something the president thinks is politically advantageous to him). I still doubt it leads to impeachment though (republicans have too narrow a majority and probably don't want the distraction).

GOP house members tried to impeach the homeland security secretary, but failed. Votes were 214-216, which is higher than I would have expected. So, mixed signals regarding GOP's ability to impeach people.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/06/politics/house-vote-mayorkas-impeachment/index.html

@nottelling2ccc That vote failed because Steve Scalise was having cancer treatment, and Republicans managed to successfully impeach Mayorkas on a second attempt with a 1-vote majority. On the other hand, Democrats flipped NY-3 in a special election. I think the margin with impeaching Biden is just too tight (3 Republicans voting against is enough to block it), though they’d probably do it if they had 5 more seats.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-68286641.amp

Comment hidden
Comment hidden
Comment hidden
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules