Will Elon musk invest on??
Will Elon musk invest on??
Basic
2
Ṁ50Dec 31
36%
Twitter
20%
Paypal
20%
Meta
24%
SpaceX
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@PranavPadmakumar only one answer here can resolve yes.
Do you mean what will most of his money be invested in as of Dec 31, 2024?
Or maybe you will resolve to a normalized % based on how much is invested in each company?
How do you plan on measuring invested money for private companies?
You're not getting a lot of traders here. I expect I'm not the only one that is not clear on his question.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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