Resolution Criteria:

1. Prolonged limbo via security delays : The anticipated verdict slips past 2026

2. Immunity law passed (retroactive immunity)

   Criteria: The Knesset passes and enacts a law specifically granting immunity to Netanyahu, either prospectively or retroactively, after his trial began, with effective date allowing dismissal of his current charges.

   Proof needed:

   • Text of law explicitly states immunity covering Netanyahu’s ongoing indictments.

   • Signed by President, not simply proposed or debated.

   • Not immediately struck down by Supreme Court

3. Attorney General is removed, sidelined, or resigns
   Criteria for “Yes” outcome:

   Official end to Gali Baharav-Miara’s tenure in any of the following ways:

   • Formal dismissal by the ministerial committee and cabinet, with or without High Court review.

   • Voluntary resignation from office — even without formal firing.

   • Legislative or judicial changes that strip her of functional authority (i.e., she remains in title only, unable to exercise duties).

   Proof required:

   Public announcement or official record confirming TBD:

   • She resigned, or

   • Committee and cabinet voted to dismiss her (even provisionally), or

   • The High Court ruled that the dismissal process is lawful, or

   • New legislation/or judicial ruling strips her powers.

4. Major charges dropped via plea deal or prosecution retreat

   Criteria: The prosecution and Netanyahu reach a publicly declared plea agreement or the AG formally withdraws key charges (especially in Case 4000 or equivalent bribery/fraud counts).

   Proof needed:

   • Official filing confirming plea deal or dropped charges.

   • Netanyahu pleads guilty to lesser count(s) or admits to modified charges.

   • Court approves amended indictment or dismissal

5. Trial canceled due to Trump pressure.
   A credible media consensus (from at least 3 reputable international or Israeli outlets) reports that Trump’s or U.S. diplomatic pressure was a significant contributing factor to the decision.

   This can include claims that:

   • Trump-linked pressure created political risk to proceed with the trial;

   • U.S. threats (e.g. military aid leverage, diplomatic fallout) were considered;

   • Israeli officials acted in a way consistent with aligning judicial outcomes to U.S. preferences.

6. The trial runs its course and he is convicted (of at least one major charge)

   Criteria:

   • A final court verdict convicts Netanyahu of bribery, fraud, or breach of trust in any of the three cases (1000, 2000, or 4000).

   • Lesser offenses (like technical violations) don’t count unless tied to the main corruption charges.

   Proof:

   • Public release of the court’s verdict.

   • Media consensus reporting conviction.

7. The trial runs its course and he is fully acquitted

   Criteria:

   • Court rules not guilty on all major charges (in all active cases).

   • Includes dismissal due to lack of evidence, not due to technicality alone.

   Proof:

   • Official court ruling.

   • Confirmed by multiple mainstream media outlets (Haaretz, Times of Israel, etc.).