Will the 2024 election have higher turnout than 2020?
Plus
145
Ṁ36kMar 1
1.1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The 2020 election had the highest turnout in decades, but will it be even higher in 2024? Specifically, will voter turnout as a percentage of the voting eligible population exceed that of 2020?
This will resolve once I find reliable data that gives me the answer with confidence, so if early analyses show very similar voter turnout to last time, it could be a while before I can confidently say that turnout was higher or lower.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2024 than it was in 2022?
24% chance
What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
2% chance
Will the 2024 President Election have a higher voter turnout than the 2020 Election?
2% chance
Will voter participation in the US be higher in 2024 than 2020?
3% chance
Will the 2024 Oregon voter turnout be higher than 2020 Oregon voter turnout?
82% chance
Will the 2024 election have a young person voter turn out that surpasses that of the same turnout in the 2020 election?
65% chance
Will voter turnout in the 2024 presidential election in Wisconsin be higher percentwise than in 2020
36% chance
Will the Asian voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 60% or larger?
59% chance
Will the mail-in ballot rate for 2024 be closer to 2020’s 43% (YES) than 2022’s 31.8% (NO)?
20% chance