π Will A.I. Become Significantly Better at Drug Discovery in 2024?
Plus
66
αΉ15kJan 1
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the updated 2024 version of:
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-ai-become-significantly-better#Ojc0JuzK0fAO4DqcPYk6
I reserve the right to use an updated Leaderboard if the above is no longer valid. Hope to have the final market details completed by end of January, 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@AndyZiber Intuitively yeah, but look at all of these benchmarks which did not advance significantly last year. https://manifold.markets/browse?s=score&f=resolved&ct=ALL&topic=third-party-validated-predictive-ma-6bab86c0b8b0
Related questions
Related questions
π Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2024?
43% chance
π Will A.I. Achieve Significantly More, "Linguistic Temporal Understanding" by end of 2024?
39% chance
π Will A.I. Be Able to, "Feel and React to Pain," Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
33% chance
π Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" by end of 2024?
25% chance
π Will AI Be Able to Understand the, "Meaning" of Questions Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
46% chance
π Will AI Achieve Significantly More, "Embodiment" by end of 2024?
15% chance
π Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher than Human Level Reasoning Through Common Sense Questions, By 2024 End?
37% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
30% chance
π Will AI Be Able to Gain a Much Broader Academic and Professional Understanding by the End of 2024?
43% chance
Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?
77% chance