Will Israeli strikes kill any Irish peacekeepers in Lebanon by the end of 2025?
Plus
31
Ṁ60982026
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/2024/10/04/irish-peacekeepers-lebanon-latest-israel-invasion/
Based on coverage by CNN, the BBC, or Haaretz. Note that the coverage just needs to indicate that such a strike by the IDF or other Israeli actors killed such a person, it doesn't need to use the active voice for attribution. This question will be upgraded if there is substantial interest.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@biased Any attack, bullets, airstrikes, whatever. I try to be intentional with whether I use terms like airstrike or not.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
67% chance
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
62% chance
Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
31% chance
Will Israel still have troops in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Lebanon by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Israeli soldiers set foot in Iran before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Israel return Lebanon/Hezbollah to the stone age before 2028?
10% chance
Will Israel launch air strikes within Tehran city limits by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Conditional on a war between Israel and Hezbollah/Lebanon, how many will die on the Hezbollah/Lebanese side before 2025?
Will any Israeli aircraft be shot down over Iranian airspace by the end of 2024?
3% chance