Will a major political party or politician advocate for voter registration to include captcha by the end of 2025?
Will a major political party or politician advocate for voter registration to include captcha by the end of 2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ2392026
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The spirit of this market is to determine if a political figure/entity will argue that voter registration, ID, or another hurdle to voting should include a test reasonably described as a captcha or similar anti-bot measure. "Major" is subjective and can be determined by a poll in an edge case. The advocacy doesn't need to be part of an official platform, but it does need to be made publicly and seriously. This market is NOT limited to the United States.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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