What government positions will Pete Buttigieg hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?
What government positions will Pete Buttigieg hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?
Plus
22
Ṁ11462051
45%
Vice President
35%
Governor
30%
Senator
25%
Representative
24%
Chief of Staff
23%
President
17%
Ambassador
13%
House Leader/Whip/Speaker
12%
Mayor
3%
Supreme Court Justice
Starting from this market's creation. Terms used refer to the United States presidency, congress, states, and so on in whatever their most obvious normal meaning is. Note that this market refers to time served, not elections won or appointments attempted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Pete Buttigieg be president in his lifetime?
24% chance
Pete Buttigieg announces Michigan gubernatorial run before September 1, 2025?
2% chance
Will Pete Buttigieg ever be US President?
16% chance
Will Pete Buttigieg ever be elected President?
15% chance
Will Pete Buttigieg (U.S. politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
4% chance
Will Pete Buttigieg ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
28% chance
Pete Buttigieg announces Michigan Senate run before October 1, 2025?
2% chance
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
72% chance
What government positions will Kamala Harris hold for any length of time in the rest of her life?
Will Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028
87% chance